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February 26, 2015

DAILYKENN.com -- Britain will be Islamic by the year 2051.

That is the projection of the Muslim Council of Britain (MCB).

The group said that the religion of peace and head-lopping grew from 1.6 million in 2001 to almost 2.8 million in 2011, the latest data available.

Note that Labour doesn't need a Muslim majority to continue screwing British culture. Nonetheless, that's the way things seem to be heading.

From thecommentator.com we read:

Please report typos...

ht / Nick Griffin

Could Muslims ever become a majority in Britain? It’s a question that divides people along a political Left-Right axis, with many on the Left denying Britain could ever become majority Muslim and those on the Right saying the country is, indeed, heading towards a Muslim majority.

Obviously, there is political ideology influencing opinion on the matter, with both sides accusing each other of advancing a political agenda; the Left in particular claiming that the Right are scare-mongering with the statistics.

And yet the question of Muslim demographics can and should be taken out of the political arena and looked at with whatever degree of accuracy the science of demographics can offer.

Consider the recent detailed study British Muslims in Numbers based on the 2011 census, undertaken by the Muslim Council of Britain (MCB).

This study revealed that Britain’s Muslim population (including Scotland and N. Ireland) increased from 1∙6 million in 2001 to almost 2∙8 million on census day 2011. That represents an almost seventy-five percent increase over a ten year period, an “unprecedented” population growth according to Prof David Voas of Essex University.

Such a growth rate may well be unprecedented for Britain, but it has not been that unusual for other parts of the Muslim world. The MCB study also stated that Britain’s Muslim population would continue growing “for many decades”.

That projection makes sense as the study also revealed that the number of Muslim children in the UK has almost doubled in the past decade. Almost ten percent of under-fives in England and Wales are Muslim, twice as high as in the general population.

Given that these figures relate to a statistically significant ten year period, it’s reasonable to conclude that those increasing percentage rates represent the future demographic make-up of Britain, with Muslims becoming a higher and higher percentage of the British population.

The reason for this is that the expanding Muslim population in Britain is only one side of Britain’s demographic story. The other side is that average British birth-rates at 1∙6 per female are below replacement level (2∙1 births per female). Muslim birth rates in Britain (even taking into account the social diversity of the Muslim population) are significantly higher than the non-replacement birth-rates of the wider British population.

It is this combination of falling average non-Muslim British birth rates and increasing Muslim birth rates that could well determine the future demographic picture of Britain.

Continuing immigration, not just birth rates, also contributes to Britain’s growing Muslim population. The immigration picture changes over time, but between 2001 to 2011 almost four million immigrants came to Britain, 30 percent from the EU, 70 percent from outside the EU, mainly from Africa and Asia.

Given such demographic facts, and accepting the MCB report that Britain’s Muslim population will continue to grow for many decades, it’s interesting to ask what the demographic picture of Britain will look like, for example by mid century.

Taking the growth figures of the MCB 2011 census report and considering just four ten year periods from that date, it would mean that by the year 2021 Britain’s Muslim population would reach roughly 4∙9 million. Again using the same growth model, by the year 2031, Britain’s Muslim population would be almost 8∙6 million.

8∙6 million Muslims in Britain is not a particularly difficult demographic situation to imagine. France, after all, according to one estimate, already has roughly 8 million Muslims, with other estimates putting it at over 10 million.

Britain’s Muslim population increasing by 5∙8 million to 8∙6 million in twenty years seems perfectly possible and reasonable.

Continuing with the same growth model, by 2041 Britain’s Muslim population would reach almost 15 million.

Now that’s a very significant increase, and one that many people today might find difficult to accept. And yet, given a base of 8∙6 million, with current birth rates and continuing immigration, an increase to 15 million in a ten year period is perfectly possible and not in any way unreasonable to expect.

Finally, by mid-century, 2051, the Muslim population of Britain would be almost 26 million.

Today in Britain, with a Muslim population of perhaps 3 million, a figure of 26 million in roughly forty years seems, for many people, almost impossible to imagine. But the difficulty here is more likely to be one of psychology rather than of demographic statistics.

Many people find it reasonably easy to accept a seventy-five percent increase from a relatively low base of 4∙9 million, but the same percentage increase from a higher base seems to create some sort of cognitive dissonance. Yet the reasoning is the same in both cases.

Yes, there are lies, damned lies and statistics, but using the available evidence is what people committed to reason are forced to do.

One can only speculate as to what percentage 26 million would be of the total population in 2051. With about ten million British people currently over the age of 65 (Muslims make up only 1∙2 percent of over 65s) and average British birth rates below replacement level, the number of Muslims in Britain by the year 2051 could be anything from forty to fifty percent.

Source ►
Image credit: thecommentator.com ####

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  1. Appalling and depressing. These growth rates are happening in almost all Western countries.


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