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August 21, 2016

DAILYKENN.com -- Donald Trump's steady decline in presidential polls reversed in mid-August and now at least one poll shows he has regained the lead over Hillary Clinton.

On August 14 Clinton led Trump at 46.3% to 41.6%. One week later Trump led Clinton 45% to 43%.

54.3% said they expect Clinton will win the presidential election. 39.9% expect Trump to win. 

From LATimes.com:

The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times "Daybreak" poll tracks about 3,000 eligible voters until election day, asking on a regular basis about their support for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump or other candidates as well as their likelihood of actually casting a ballot. 

We update the data each day based on the weighted average of poll responses over the previous week. That means results have less volatility than some other polls, but also means the poll lags somewhat in responding to major events in the campaign.

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